New Australian Mortality Data Drop from ABS up to Week 30, 2023 Showing Excess Mortality Running at 12.1%: Deaths in Younger Age Groups May Be Stabilizing. Deaths in Older Ages Continuing.
New Australian Mortality Data Drop from ABS up to Week 30, 2023 Showing Excess Mortality Running at 12.1%: Deaths in Younger Age Groups May Be Stabilizing. Deaths in Older Ages Continuing.
11,338 deaths above baseline levels in weeks 1-30 for 2023. Deaths in 75 - 84 yo still running at 21% for men and 20% for women.
ABS has just released new mortality data covering weeks 1 - 30 of 2023. The deaths are lower than those up to July 2022. However, they do not state in their summary that overall deaths for 2023 are still running at 12.1% above their assumed baseline (2017-2019, 2021) with 11,338 deaths more than usual, in still provisional data!
Deaths in week 29 and 30 have finally dropped into the very top of the baseline range. Reassuring? Maybe not when a breakdown of the deaths is examined.
Breakdown of deaths by ages shows that there are considerable excess deaths in 2023 weeks 1 - 30; 5,593 excess deaths for men (+12.2%), and 5,046 excess deaths for women (+11.2%).
Don’t forget that a 10% excess is a black swan event! These deaths exceed that - for the second year running! While the overall deaths seem to be stabilizing from weeks 28-30, an evaluation of the deaths by age-group is more revealing.
Only the youngest men (0-44) had negative death rates vs. baseline in 2023. The worst outcomes were in men aged 75-84, who exhibited 21% excess deaths; deaths which were not dropping off in week 27 - 30.
All women age groups, except 45 - 64, showed excess deaths above baseline. Women aged 75-84 had the worst outcomes (20% excess deaths). Perhaps fewer of the very old are dying because many elderly are not lasting long enough to join the 85+ age group.
The outcomes from the Covid-19 vaccines are far from over! Sudden cardiac arrests and unexpected cancers continue to accelerate in Australia. Any apparent slowing of deaths may be an artifact of data collection rather than a real reprieve.
I recommend this article and the linked and downloadable book “Too Many Dead”.
