New Preprint Study Finds Serious Vaccine AEFI Are So Common That The Benefit-Risk Analysis is Negative. Covid-19 Vaccine Harm More Than They Help.

While natural immunity provides lasting protection, vaccines outcomes end with negative protection. Failed protection and more SAEs than prevented illness. What have we done! STOP!

While this study published in the NEJM last 15 June 2022 is good news for covid-recovered unvaccinated persons, showing that they have a lasting (46.1% and 50%) immunity against the two subvariants of Omicron even at 300 days post infection, it was not good news for vaccinated persons. People who had received two doses of the mRNA shots but had no previous infections had negative immunity against both BA.1 and BA.2 Omicron subvariants, meaning an increased risk of contracting COVID compared to an unvaccinated person. Further detailed discussion on that topic in this article from CCH.

To add insult to injury this brand new preprint paper from BMJ’s Peter Doshi with 6 other authors found that there is no benefit to vaccination because the reduction in serious covid-19 infections are not outweighed by serious AEFI post vaccination.

The study found that Pfizer's vaccine was associated with an increased risk of Serious Adverse Events (SAE) of 10.1 events per 10,000 doses. The figure for Moderna's vaccine was 15.1 events per 10,000 doses.

Risk reduction for COVID-19 hospitalization following vaccination with a Pfizer vaccine was 2.3 per 10,000 participants and 6.4 per 10,000 for Moderna's vaccine. Thus, the Pfizer vaccine showed a net increase of serious adverse events of 7.8 per 10,000 people vaccinated, very similar to that of Moderna's vaccine, which was 8.7 per 10,000 people. A more detailed discussion is provided here from my substack colleague the Naked Emperor.

To put this in a Philippines Context; here is the summary of relative vaccine dosing from FDA as of 12 June 2022. Note that about 30% of Philippines reported SAE have been deaths (2,451 deaths out of 8,441 SAE).

56,686,891 doses of Pfizer have been given. Ignoring that SAE may increase with booster doses, and following the Doshi et al. SAE of 10.1 events per 10,000 we would expect possible 57,254 serious events of which possibly 17,176 could have been deaths. The actual reported SAE are 1,903 indicating a possible under reporting factor for SAE of 30x.

18,799,234 doses of Moderna have been given. Following the SAE of 15.1 events per 10,000 doses we expect 28,287 SAE of which possibly 8,516 could be deaths. The actual reported SAE are 559 indicating a possible under reporting factor for these SAE of 51x.

Food for thought indeed! What do we do when risk does not outweigh benefit? Shouldn’t we stop the risky behavior?