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PSA have updated 2022 Vital Statistics as of 31 May 2023! Deaths have risen to 9.5% above, and births have risen to 7% below 2020 levels. If 2021 deaths rose to a similar extent they would exceed 900k
rising to a 47.2% excess above 2020 levels. This begs the question why 2021 data has still not been released in full! Further, where is the 2023 data?
Just 6 days after releasing 2022 data as of 30 April 2023, PSA have released 2022 vital statistics data as of 31 May 2023 on 12th September 2023. This results in 7,967 additional registered deaths since 30 April (and 18,175 additional registered deaths (2.78%) since 31 March 2023). This also results in 6,393 additional registered births since 30th April 2022 (and 92,207 additional registered births (6.95%) since 31 March 2023). It appears that people are slower to register births than they are deaths.
2022 registered deaths now exceed all prior years, except the 2021 preliminary data, and are 9.5% (58,252) above 2020 deaths, which is a very concerning increase and demonstrates no recovery from 2021 excess deaths.
2022 registered births are now higher than 2021 registered births by 54,031 births, though still lower than 2020 births by 109,914. I suspect though that there is still considerable under registration of the 2021 births, and 2021 birth data should improve with updated registrations, which is GOOD NEWS!
I refer to the 2022 registration of data for progression of data compilation over time. It takes quite some months for data to be complete. The 2022 data is likely still incomplete as of 31 May 2023, though changes after May should be relatively lower as late registrations continue to trickle in. Registered deaths for 2022 between March 2023 and May 2023 increased by 2.8%.
Registered births for 2022 increased by 6.95% between 31 March 2023 and 31 May 2023.
2021 Data Still Incomplete and Never Updated After March 31, 2022!
The 2021 data is still incomplete as it was never updated after March 31, 2022. Why was it never updated; the 2022 data is still being updated monthly? Was the 2021 data too alarming to update? Who made the decision to stop data release? Will 2021 data ever be updated and released in full?
If the 2021 data were to increase by the same magnitude as the 2022 data has between March and May 2022;-
2021 deaths would rise to 903,868, giving 47.2%, or 289,932 excess deaths vs. 2020,
2021 births would rise to 1,459,600, leaving only a 4.5% deficit compared to 2020.
I suspect that the death data will rise by considerably more than 47.2% excess in the final count. Clearly there is an inflection point of rising deaths that commenced in early 2021. When Covid-19 vaccination accelerated in last quarter of 2021, unaccountably, the registered deaths did not follow or rise with the mass dosing in November and December. Instead, deaths apparently fell sharply! This doesn’t make logical sense! I doubt completeness of the published data. I hope I am wrong!
Cause of Death Data Raises Cause for Concern
COD data for 2022 up to 31 May 2023, was also released on 12th September 2023. This data looks worse with each release as numbers of deaths by each category increase and exceed the last normal year, 2019, levels. In the figure from PSA shown below 2022 figures may not look so bad, but that is only relative to 2021, which was catastrophic.
Note that deaths reported as coronavirus (identified or assumed) will skew downwards other causes of death. We are aware that deaths are typically with coronavirus as victim typically have multiple underlying health conditions contributing to death.
It is likely better to compare 2022 with 2019, pre-pandemic levels to get a better idea of health changes. Had nothing changed, relative contribution for each cause of death should have stayed thesame. The increase in various causes of death has not changed proportionally with the increase in numbers of deaths; respiratory deaths of all types are down and hypertensive disease is up, as are cardiac causes, diabetes, and cerebrovascular diseases. Cancers are set to match and possibly exceed 2019 levels by the next update.
Updated population change chart below! I will update further when more data is released.
PSA, please release the 2023 data! Please update 2021! Without your data, how can attention be properly drawn to population outcomes?
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