Excess Mortality = Reported (estimated) deaths – Expected Deaths
We are working on a standardized “expected deaths” for 2020 and 2021 to use to fine tune the excess mortality data. In the meantime, there is a new data drop from PSA who are doing a great job updating population data.
The September 2021 data is now substantially complete, and there are also adjustments for late death registration in earlier months, which modify the data presentation slightly. The excess deaths are about 20,000 higher than previously reported for September 2021. The daily deaths in September are more than double previous historical rates. That is excess deaths of more than 1,700 a day!
The reduction is registered births still alarming, with a lower than usual September birth peak.
The preliminary correlation of death per doses of vaccine has reduced from 1 per 248 doses to 1 per 228.6 doses. Statistical analysis will confirm significance! If this remains consistent excess deaths by the end of the year will reach more than 475,000.
They start on the 5 - 11 yo children here in the Philippines next week! I cannot understand why the alarm has not yet been raised!