Review of DOH Covid-19 Death Tracker to End of 2022: Age Breakdown Shows that Deaths Increased in Younger Age Groups Concurrent With Vaccines Rollout and Despite Lower Variant Pathogenicity.

A peak in pediatric Covid deaths in the 3rd quarter of 2022 matches vaccine push for resumption of face-to-face classes. Vaccines appear to increase C19 death rates in the young. Cause infection, SAE?

Thanks to my friend Barry who has downloaded and analyzed the just released DOH Covid-19 Death and Case Tracker data up to 31 December 2022. I have included some of his evaluations as well as my own on breakdown of deaths by age.

Here are the overall Covid-19 Cases and Deaths plotted from the start of the declaration of pandemic. Cases are not an accurate metric due to mass asymptomatic testing with a poor accuracy test, and they depend on the number of tests conducted. Regardless, it can be noted that cases massively outnumber deaths.

Here are the daily deaths by date of death. Deaths may be from Covid-19, or with Covid-19 as an incidental finding.

Here are the monthly deaths, now marked for circulating variant! Curious that the acknowledged less pathogenic variants caused far more deaths in 2021 than the original Wuhan Variant. The Covid-19 2021 death spike started exactly concurrent with the vaccine rollouts and phasing.

March 2021 was also the exact same month that the 2021 vital statistics of all-cause mortality started showing excess deaths.

Covid-19 Deaths follow the same pattern as the tested cases. There were 65,385 deaths recorded by the DOH as being due to Covid-19 up to 31 December 2022. Curiously the lowest peaks of deaths were in 2020, the first year of the pandemic prior to any rollout.

• In 2020 there 471,753 recorded cases of C19 with 11,863 deaths, which works out to a mortality rate of 2.51%.

• In 2021, there were 2,368,148 cases and 46,290 deaths, for a rate of 1.95%. These were Pre-Omicron Era.

• 2022 was the start of OMICRON, and there were 1,224,542 cases and only 7,232 fatalities for an amazingly low rate of 0.59%! That was a 60%+ reduction in the mortality rate with Omicron!

There were 7 main vaccines offered in the Philippines. Children (5 - 17) were typically offered Pfizer, though some also received CoronaVac (referred to as Sinovac locally). Using FDA pharmacovigilance report data, I plotted the uptake of various vaccines by month.

Could the increase in Covid-19 cases and deaths and the mass excess death spike seen in August and September of 2021 possibly be (in some part) related to the ramped up roll out of specific vaccines (AstraZeneca, J&J, CoronaVac to the general population in August?

The 2021 spike in Covid-19 (and excess) deaths occurred at a time when the overall vaccine uptake was not yet very high. What could be a mechanism? Could this be due to the known increased susceptibility to catch Covid-19 between first and second doses for the 2-dose regime products?

Initial rollout was to healthcare and frontline workers working with the sick and potentially vulnerable (to death) population. The initial vaccines used were CoronaVac. Could the HCW have, between doses, become infected and infectious, and served to effectively seed the explosion of infections in March 2021? The explosion of infections occurred literally within days of vaccination rollout. Very few people were vaccinated at that point. However, if i were to look at this logically, it somehow appears as if the vaccines (CoronaVac was the first one) caused the sudden outbreak.

The 2021 increase in Covid-19 cases and Covid-19 deaths (and excess deaths) in every single region of the Philippines started abruptly! As if triggered! Nearly every region had a biphasic death presentation; the first, apparently matching the role out to HCW and highly vulnerable populations, the second matching the general population rollouts. I have written and presented graphs showing this previously using available (preliminary) data.

Philippines Summary Of The 2021 Registered Deaths, Excess Mortality, And Covid-19 Deaths; Overall And By Region Is Provided.

The 2021 death data is still preliminary (released August 2022, but only compiled as of 31 March 2022, FOI response). Registered Deaths (and excess deaths) are expected to rise further when complete data is provided. Vaccine doses / 100 population is extracted from OWID.

Covid-19 Deaths Presented with By Age Breakdowns

I organized the DOH’s Covid-19 numbers to look at Covid-19 attributed deaths by age-groups. Any death without an age was excluded from my evaluation. There were 82 deaths with no assigned age. I then separated the remaining data set by month and into 7 age-groups:-

1. 0 - 4, the very young, never approved for and did not receive any Covid-19 Vaccination.

2. 5 - 11, young children. Vaccination of this group started officially on 7 Feb 2022. The primary product used in the Philippines is Pfizer.

3. 12-17, older children. Vaccination in this group started officially on 15 October 2021. The primary product used for them was Pfizer.

4. 18-39, young adults. This group, unless they were frontline workers or had severe comorbidities were offered vaccines in the 3rd to 4th quarter of 2021.

5. 40 - 59, middle aged adults. This group, unless they were healthcare of frontline workers or had severe comorbidities were also offered vaccines in the 3rd to 4th quarter of 2021.

6. 60 - 84, Older & Retired Adults. This group were mostly offered vaccines in 2nd quarter of 2021, with the big push for dosing into 2nd half of the year.

7. 85+, Very elderly. This group were first offered vaccines in the 2nd quarter of 2021.

The overall deaths by age groups are provided. It is notable that younger age-groups proportionally show more deaths over the months as the vaccine rollout continues. Why were younger persons becoming progressively more vulnerable to Covid as the months progressed, despite the known attenuation (reduction in pathogenicity) of the virus?

The pediatric deaths are too small to be visible on the first figure. I plotted them separately to better illustrate patterns.

2nd Half of 2022 Saw a Pediatric Covid-19 Death Spike

Deaths in babies (0-4) rose with the initial vaccine rollout. They rose even further with the general population rollout. Why would vaccination of the parent and siblings have increased Covid-19 deaths in babies? Children went from being minimally represented during the initial pre-vaccine period in 2020, to much higher cases following vaccine rollout, whether or not their age group was eligible for vaccination.

April, May, and June of 2022 (summer holidays) saw very low pediatric Covid-19 deaths (10). July and August saw a spike in pediatric covid-19 deaths (32) which did not return to the April - June levels for the rest of the year (33 Deaths from Sept to Dec). Babies’ deaths started rising in August, one month later than the older children whose deaths started rising in July.

Why did children’s deaths spike in the 2nd half of 2022 during the low pathogenicity omicron period, and when it is known that children have next to no risk from this variant (ref. Ioannidis 2023 paper)?

This spike in pediatric deaths in 3rd quarter 2022 matches the push to vaccinate children for return to face-to-face school (finally after nearly 3 years of disrupted schooling).

This push continued right to the end of the year.

Mga Bata (The Children): Philippines DOH Determined to Jab as Many Children as Possible During 3-Day Drive From 5 to 7 December 2022.

Patterns Raise Question on Causality

Were the spikes in Covid-19 deaths caused by the vaccination? Were vaccination deaths covered up and recorded as Covid-19 deaths? Many questions are raised by this discussion.

DID THE VACCINES CAUSE COVID-19 INFECTIONS TO ESCALATE AND EXTEND THE PANDEMIC?

ARE THE VACCINES STILL EXTENDING CASES AND DEATHS?

This data presented makes the case that the possible answer to both of these questions is YES. Many international independent researchers are raising similar concerns and presenting data to support the YES case.

Thorough, critical, and independent investigation by (uncaptured) experts is urgently required. If these products are in any way implicated in the prolongation of the infection situation (they are!) then they must be stopped (and banned) immediately.

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