The very elderly 80 years and older age bracket stagnated, with the expected growth from the aging population / demographic shift counterbalanced by 2021 excess deaths.
I remember when you started doing this, that we were missing 3,500 live recorded births per day for the Philippines for the 2020-early 2021 data. This was before the PSA folks started doctoring the data because we were using it to their disadvantage.
I took my kid to a play place last weekend, and what, pre-2019, would have normally been a jampacked place (Saturday afternoon), was only filled to less than half of its capacity.
We took the MRT last Saturday and again, comparing my pre-2019 experience of commuting in the city, the crowds on a normal Saturday in Manila are palpably thinned. I have the advantage of having moved out of the city over 5 years ago, and only coming in to Manila once a quarter, or less. So I am beginning to get visual confirmation (less crowds on the trains, and in malls) of the depopulation effects.
Too bad we can't easily access the toll collection data on the SLEX and NLEX. We'd be able to see a significant reduction in people going in and out of the city on a daily basis.
Metro Manila is thinning out, Sally. This is death by a thousand cuts. Folks living in the actual city won't notice it as much as infrequent visitors like I do.
Births dropped from about 4,500 a day in 2019 (the last 'typical year' to 3,500 a day in 2021. 1,000 fewer babies born each day! 2022 data is still too incomplete to assess, but it looks to be even lower. In 2023, I am hearing many accounts of pregnancy loss and others of failure to get pregnant despite trying! There is no 2023 data release yet!
I was also out at BCG last weekend. Notably fewer people than typical for a Saturday afternoon. I was curious whether this is due to depopulation (we have no idea of deaths, because PSA is not publishing them), disability (estimated to be maybe 8x times higher than the deaths), the very hot weather, or people being scared back into their homes by the health influencers and the DOH who keep working hard to keep the population terrified. Probably a combination of all factors. I wonder if we will only really find out how much the population has decreased when they do the next census in 2025. Better not say that too loudly or they may doctor that as well.
There you go! Missing 1,000 live births per day since 2021. I stand corrected :)
The DePopCom must be furiously figuring out what lies to trot up next when the masses start noticing "Hey, there's actually fewer people in Metro Manila... what's up with that?".
I think when they realize there's hardly any traffic in the city, and landlords begin lowering rental rates in order to fight over dwindling tenants still capable of paying rent (non disabled from vaccine injuries, or not yet Suddenly Dieds) is when we'll get confirmation for real, like... it's actually happening--- what we've been saying since you plotted the crossover of live births no longer outstripping recorded deaths.
Our population is contracting.
And we have an ongoing brain and skills drain as the First World countries try to bolster their failing economies with Sinovaxed Filipino migrants.
I remember when you started doing this, that we were missing 3,500 live recorded births per day for the Philippines for the 2020-early 2021 data. This was before the PSA folks started doctoring the data because we were using it to their disadvantage.
I took my kid to a play place last weekend, and what, pre-2019, would have normally been a jampacked place (Saturday afternoon), was only filled to less than half of its capacity.
We took the MRT last Saturday and again, comparing my pre-2019 experience of commuting in the city, the crowds on a normal Saturday in Manila are palpably thinned. I have the advantage of having moved out of the city over 5 years ago, and only coming in to Manila once a quarter, or less. So I am beginning to get visual confirmation (less crowds on the trains, and in malls) of the depopulation effects.
Too bad we can't easily access the toll collection data on the SLEX and NLEX. We'd be able to see a significant reduction in people going in and out of the city on a daily basis.
Metro Manila is thinning out, Sally. This is death by a thousand cuts. Folks living in the actual city won't notice it as much as infrequent visitors like I do.
Births dropped from about 4,500 a day in 2019 (the last 'typical year' to 3,500 a day in 2021. 1,000 fewer babies born each day! 2022 data is still too incomplete to assess, but it looks to be even lower. In 2023, I am hearing many accounts of pregnancy loss and others of failure to get pregnant despite trying! There is no 2023 data release yet!
I was also out at BCG last weekend. Notably fewer people than typical for a Saturday afternoon. I was curious whether this is due to depopulation (we have no idea of deaths, because PSA is not publishing them), disability (estimated to be maybe 8x times higher than the deaths), the very hot weather, or people being scared back into their homes by the health influencers and the DOH who keep working hard to keep the population terrified. Probably a combination of all factors. I wonder if we will only really find out how much the population has decreased when they do the next census in 2025. Better not say that too loudly or they may doctor that as well.
There you go! Missing 1,000 live births per day since 2021. I stand corrected :)
The DePopCom must be furiously figuring out what lies to trot up next when the masses start noticing "Hey, there's actually fewer people in Metro Manila... what's up with that?".
I think when they realize there's hardly any traffic in the city, and landlords begin lowering rental rates in order to fight over dwindling tenants still capable of paying rent (non disabled from vaccine injuries, or not yet Suddenly Dieds) is when we'll get confirmation for real, like... it's actually happening--- what we've been saying since you plotted the crossover of live births no longer outstripping recorded deaths.
Our population is contracting.
And we have an ongoing brain and skills drain as the First World countries try to bolster their failing economies with Sinovaxed Filipino migrants.